Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescu

Round of 32 · 30 Mar 2026 · Clay

PlayerSet 1Set 2
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin1666
🇨🇦Bianca AndreescuWC44
Head to head2–3
Points67–60
Break3–1

How the lead moved

  • Kenin ahead
  • Andreescu ahead
  • Break

Expected score

The score flatters Kenin.

Sets2–0
Points67–60
Expected sets1.2–0.8

Set by set, from the points each player won on serve and return. How it works

Break points5–5
Set points0–0
Match points4–0

The biggest points

Kenin's chance of winning the match, after the point

  1. Break pointSet 1 4–3 · Kenin serving 40–A
    Kenin won the point
    61%
    Had Andreescu won it
    51%
  2. Break pointSet 2 1–1 · Andreescu serving 30–40
    Kenin won the point
    80%
    Had Andreescu won it
    70%
  3. Match pointSet 2 5–4 · Kenin serving 40–30
    Kenin won the point
    >97%
    Had Andreescu won it
    89%

Worked out only from the score and how both players had served so far in this match, with no rankings and no earlier matches. Near the ends the sums are least reliable, so anything beyond 3% or 97% is shown as a limit.

Statistics

KeninAndreescu

Key stats

Aces
23
First serves in
67%56%
First-serve points won
76%32/4269%25/36
Total points won
6760
All statistics

Serve

Double faults
03
Second-serve points won
43%9/2146%13/28

Return

First-return points won
31%11/3624%10/42
Second-return points won
54%15/2857%12/21

Points

Service points won
65%41/6359%38/64
Return points won
41%26/6435%22/63

Games

Service games won
90%9/1070%7/10
Return games won
30%3/1010%1/10
Total games won
128

Point by point

Each game starts with the score in the set, Kenin first, then who served. Points read from the server's side. BP is a break point, SP a set point, MP a match point.

Set 16–4
0–1Andreescu15-030-030-1540-1540-30
1–1Kenin15-030-040-040-15
1–2Andreescu15-030-040-0
2–2Kenin15-015-1530-1540-15
3–2AndreescuBreak0-150-3015-3015-40BP30-40BP
4–2Kenin0-150-3015-3015-40BP30-40BP40-40A-40
4–3Andreescu15-030-040-0
5–3Kenin0-1515-1530-1530-3040-3040-4040-ABP40-40A-4040-40A-40
5–4Andreescu15-015-1515-3030-3040-30
6–4Kenin0-1515-1530-1540-15
Set 26–4
0–1Andreescu0-150-3015-3030-3040-30
1–1Kenin15-015-1515-3030-3030-40BP40-40A-40
2–1AndreescuBreak15-015-1515-3015-40BP30-40BP
3–1Kenin15-015-1530-1540-1540-30
4–1AndreescuBreak0-1515-1515-3030-3030-40BP
5–1Kenin15-030-040-0
5–2Andreescu0-1515-1530-1530-3040-3040-40A-40
5–3KeninBreak0-150-300-40BP
5–4Andreescu0-1515-1530-1530-3030-40MP40-4040-AMP40-40A-4040-40A-40
6–4Kenin0-1515-1530-1540-15MP40-30MP