Paris Masters 2026 Preview: Draw, Race Stakes and First-Round Odds

Sinner's absence reshapes the Race

Jannik Sinner, No. 2 in the ATP Race, is out of the Nitto ATP Finals with a knee injury and his season is over, so the eight places go to the next players in the Race. Sinner won Paris in 2025 and is not in the 2026 draw.

Rafael Jodar is No. 9 in the ATP Race of 26 October 2026 with 3,159 points, in a qualifying place (8 of 8 among players still available). Novak Djokovic is No. 11 with 2,840 points, 319 points behind Jodar, who holds the last qualifying place.

Tommy Paul is No. 13 in the Race with 2,675 points, 484 points behind Jodar.

Points at stake and what is being defended

Paris 2026 is an ATP Masters 1000 on hard courts with 56 players in the singles main draw. Play began on 31 October 2026. The champion receives 1,000 points, the runner-up 650, semifinalists 400 and quarterfinalists 200.

Sinner scored 1,000 points in 2025 and Felix Auger Aliassime 650, and neither is in the draw. Alexander Bublik and Alexander Zverev each scored 400 and are also absent.

Among those in the draw, Valentin Vacherot defends 200 points. Francisco Cerundolo, Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina each defend 100.

Seeds and 2026 serve and return numbers

Rafael Jodar is seeded 9 (No. 11, 3,234 points) and Novak Djokovic is seeded 10 (No. 12, 3,090). Tommy Paul is seeded 12 (No. 14, 2,675) and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is seeded 13 (No. 15, 2,600).

Brandon Nakashima is seeded 14 (No. 17, 2,375), Learner Tien is seeded 15 (No. 18, 2,345) and Francisco Cerundolo is seeded 16 (No. 19, 2,310).

Jodar has won 30% of return games in 2026 against a tour average of 20%, with 4.5 aces per match. Djokovic averages 8.2 aces per match and has won 86.3% of service games, but 18.4% of return games.

First-round matches to watch

Jodar meets Alejandro Tabilo and is the biggest favourite of the opening round in the betting market at 77%. Jodar leads the head-to-head 3–1.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz is the closest match in the betting market: Hurkacz 51%, Musetti 49%. Musetti leads the head-to-head 3–2.

Djokovic plays Vacherot, with the betting market making Djokovic a 66% favourite. Vacherot leads the head-to-head 1–0 and defends 200 points.

Paul faces Holger Rune, with the betting market giving Paul 64%. They have never met in our match records.

Stefanos Tsitsipas plays Tien, who is a 55% favourite in the betting market and leads the head-to-head 1–0.

Nakashima plays Matteo Berrettini, with the betting market giving Nakashima 58%. The head-to-head is 1–1.

More openers and the live ranking

Davidovich Fokina, who faces wild card Moise Kouame, is a 72% favourite in the betting market. Cerundolo is a 68% favourite against Arthur Rinderknech, who leads their head-to-head 2–0.

Karen Khachanov is a 60% favourite against Denis Shapovalov, who leads the head-to-head 2–0. Rublev is a 68% favourite against Tomas Martin Etcheverry, with the head-to-head level at 1–1.

In the live ranking of 31 October 2026, Jodar is No. 10 with 3,209 points and Djokovic is No. 11 with 3,140. Jiri Lehecka is No. 15 with 2,580 points, against No. 21 in the official ranking.

Paris history and former champions

Our archive has 58 finals of Paris up to 2025, and Djokovic has the most titles among them, 7. Khachanov and Rune have one title each and are also in the 2026 draw.

Sinner won the 2025 final over Felix Auger Aliassime 6–4 7–6(4).